← The Armoury Store Championships

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at The Armoury Store Championships

decks
4 (23.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19 12-5-2
overall winrate
68.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.0% avg ELO +4.3 per match
expected value
54.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1294 · median 1286 · range 1064–1541 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1019 Q1 1098 Q3 1358 1624
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 23.5% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 46.3% -2.1
Fire Exia 11.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 63.0% +12.5
Fire Luxem Assassin 11.8% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 62.2% +7.8
Water Crux Mage 11.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +2.4
Fire Aggro 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.3% +10.0
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.1% +4.9
Fire Oblation 5.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.2% -15.7
Water Exia Jin 5.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.8
Water Fractal 5.9% 0
Wind Allies 5.9% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 58.6% +6.4
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Heavenly Guide, Eternal Magistrate, Zephyr. Losers more often ran: Nullifying Lantern, Resolute Stand, Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace.

Played more by winners
Heavenly Guide
Winning decks ran 2.2 copies on average, losing decks 1.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Eternal Magistrate
Winning decks ran 1.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.8.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Zephyr
Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Veiling Breeze
Winning decks ran 3.8 copies on average, losing decks 3.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Safeguard Amulet
Winning decks ran 0.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Reclaim
Winning decks ran 3.8 copies on average, losing decks 3.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Played more by losers
Nullifying Lantern
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Resolute Stand
Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace
Losing decks ran 1.0 copy on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Ensnaring Fumes
Losing decks ran 2.5 copies on average, winning decks 2.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Crystallized Destiny
Losing decks ran 0.5 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Regal Inquisition
Losing decks ran 1.5 copies on average, winning decks 1.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Heavenly Guide +0.50 3 1 0
Backup Charger -0.50 0 2 2
Eternal Magistrate +0.50 3 1 0
Turbo Charge -0.50 0 2 2
Verdigris Decree +0.50 2 0 0
Dungeon Guide -0.50 0 2 2
Stifling Trap +0.50 2 0 2
Nullifying Lantern -0.50 1 3 0
Zephyr +0.50 3 1 0
Resolute Stand -0.25 1 2 0
Aesan Protector +0.25 1 0 3
Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace -0.25 1 2 0
Veiling Breeze +0.25 2 1 1
Ensnaring Fumes -0.25 1 2 1
Winbless Lookout +0.25 1 0 3
Crystallized Destiny -0.25 1 2 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.25 2 1 1
Sadi, Blood Harvester +0.25 1 0 3
Mastermind Scheme +0.25 1 0 3
Regal Inquisition -0.25 1 2 0
Reclaim +0.25 2 1 1
Spirelle, Schwartz Queen -0.25 1 2 1
Beseech the Winds -0.25 1 2 0
Slice and Dice -0.25 0 1 3
Purifying Thurible +0.25 1 0 3
Tristan, Shadowreaver +0.25 2 1 1
Nullifying Mirror +0.25 2 1 0
Dream Fairy +0.25 1 0 3
Penumbral Waltz -0.25 0 1 1
Expeditious Opening -0.25 0 1 0
Extortion Scheme -0.25 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -0.25 0 1 0
Smoke Bombs -0.25 0 1 0
Cleansing Reunion +0.00 2 2 0
Blackmarket Broker +0.00 1 1 2
Censer of Restful Peace +0.00 1 1 2
Innervate Agility +0.00 2 2 0
Cry for Help +0.00 1 1 0
Scatter Essence +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/32442/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike